Executive Times

 

 

 

 

 

2007 Book Reviews

 

State of Denial: Bush at War, Part III by Bob Woodward

Rating:

***

 

(Recommended)

 

 

 

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Indictment

 

After reading the third installment of Bob Woodward’s Bush at War series, State of Denial, I wondered why administration figures talk to him. As a result of his countless relationships in Washington, Woodward seems to talk to everyone, and as a result, pieces together a description of what goes on behind the scenes that can make for compelling and depressing reading. In this volume, he stresses the creation of an alternate reality by the administration that led them toward denial of what was really happening. Here’s an excerpt, from the beginning of Chapter 23, pp. 240-3:

 

Rumsfeld just was not paying attention, Rice and Hadley had concluded by August 2003. He was not showing the same interest in postwar Iraq as he had with the military invasion plans. The only op­tion was for the NSC to step in and manage Bremer more directly.

Rice needed someone dedicated to the task, and she thought of the man who had been her boss on the NSC in George H. W. Bush’s admin­istration. Robert D. Blackwill, 63, had recently resigned as ambassador to India to teach at Harvard.

Blackwill had served 22 years in the foreign service and had worked in the upper reaches of the State Department, including a stint as an aide to Henry Kissinger. At 6-foot-3 and heavyset with white hair, he looked like Santa Claus when he smiled. But he was a prickly, demanding boss, who often referred to himself as Godzilla. In India, he had roiled the embassy staff. Two State Department inspector general reports criticized his man­agement style.

Hadley, the consummate staff man, started canvassing people who had worked with Blackwill. The general report: Don’t bring him in. He’ll be disruptive. He has a terrible reputation. People don’t want to work with him. He’s after your job, and he has even let it be known he wants to be Condi’s deputy. Al Kamen’s popular “In the Loop” column in The Washington Post in July had quoted unnamed officials—”mischief makers,” Kamen called them—suggesting that Hadley might move over to the Pentagon to make room for Blackwill.

But Rice wanted Blackwill’s brainpower, so she and Hadley called him to the White House. They summarized the rap on him, and said there would be new rules of civility and collegiality if he joined the NSC staff.

“I hear you,” Blackwill said. “I understand exactly what you’re saying and I tell you that you will not have cause to complain.”

In a second tough session, Rice asked Blackwill if he would have trou­ble working for her, his former subordinate, or for Hadley. He said he would not.

Blackwill was given the exalted title of coordinator for strategic plan­ning on the NSC staff. Soon Rice made him point man for Iraq.

After a couple of weeks Blackwill told Rice and Hadley. “We’re losing. We’re just losing this whole thing. The public opinion’s going against us. This is awful. We’re losing the battle for Iraq heart and soul.”

Rice’s immediate concern was not the situation on the ground in Iraq. The problem, she told Blackwill, was “the dysfunctional U.S. govern­ment.” He soon understood what she meant. He attended the deputies committee meetings where Armitage and Doug Feith often sat across from each other in the Situation Room. The hostility between them was enormous, and Blackwill watched as Armitage, a mountain of a man, barked at Feith. It was almost as if Armitage wanted to reach across the table and snap Feith’s neck like a twig. Armitage’s knuckles even turned white.

The principals meetings or NSC meetings with Powell and Rums­feld were not as coarse but had the same surreal quality, rarely airing the real issues. Blackwill, a veteran of the Kissinger style, was astonished. Rumsfeid made his presentation looking at the president, while Powell looked straight ahead. Then Powell would make his to the president with Rumsfeld looking straight ahead. They didn’t even comment on each other’s statements or views. So Bush never had the benefit of a se­rious, substantive discussion between his principal advisers. And the president, whose legs often jiggled under the table, did not force a dis­cussion.

Blackwill saw Rice try to intervene and get nowhere. So critical com­ments and questions—especially about military strategy—never sur­faced. Blackwill felt sympathy for Rice. This young woman, he thought, had to deal with three of the titans of national security—Cheney, Rums­feld and Powellafl of whom had decades of experience, cachet and Strong views. The image locked in Blackwill’s mind of Rice, dutiful, in­formed and polite, at one end of the table, and the inexperienced presi­dent at the other, legs dancing, while the bulls staked out their ground, almost snorting defiantly, hoofs pawing the table, daring a challenge that never came.

 

David Kay’s people developed a solid explanation for why Saddam’s regime had been so bent on acquiring 60,000 aluminum tubes. Powell had told the U.N. the tubes were for a centrifuge system to be used in Saddam’s nuclear weapons program. The evidence now showed that the tubes were meant for conventional artillery shells, just as the Iraqis had maintained before the war. The propellant for the rockets was produced by an Iraqi company run by a close friend of Saddam’s son Qusay. The propellant was lousy, but nobody in the Iraqi military had the clout to tell a friend of Qusay’s to improve his products or lose the contract. So the artillery scientists came up with a work-around: tighten the specifi­cations on the aluminum tubes, making them smaller and lighter so that the weak propellant would still work.

One of the prisoners the U.S. was holding and interrogating was the former head of the procurement arm of the Iraqi military. “We bought these tubes because we had a contract,” he said under interrogation. He explained the bureaucratic process, and how they had felt that tighten­ing the specifications was the only option. Kay’s group tracked down some of the military officers involved in the rocket program, who con­firmed the story. “We never wanted these,” one said. “We kept trying to cancel the contract but they told us we had to honor the contract.”

To Kay, it almost sounded like a Washington or Pentagon contracting scandal, with $500 toilet seats and $1,000 hammers.

Kay’s team uncovered evidence showing how Saddam spied on and tracked the U.N. inspection programs. At one point, they found a full set of faxes that U.N. inspectors had sent back and forth between Baghdad, New York and Vienna, home of the International Atomic Energy Agency, which oversaw prewar WMD inspections in Iraq. These were not elec­tronic intercepts, but were the actual faxes, which meant that the Iraqis had spies or agents of some kind who could get physical access to the JAEA offices. In one case Kay saw that a fax the Iraqis had taken was an original, with handwritten notes that a member of his inspection team had made on the document years earlier.

Kay had extraordinary incentives to offer Iraqis for proof of WMD, in­cluding $10 million from a CIA covert fund that he could use to pay in­formants. He could also provide green cards to cooperative Iraqis who wanted to live and work in the United States. His group could move peo­ple out of Iraq and relocate them to other countries. They put out word of the program on the street hoping to attract genuine informers, and about 100 people came forward with information that seemed good enough to investigate. But virtually nothing panned out, and Kay wound up moving only one person to the U.S. It was all “I didn’t see, but my neighbor saw.” Others were coming in with pieces of equipment, mak­ing up stories and saying, oh, this came from a chemical weapon. There were all sorts of hoaxes.

At another point, Kay’s communication teams were able to eavesdrop on a conversation an Iraqi scientist had with his wife, who was pleading with her husband. They were desperate, and she was begging him to go tell the Americans anything so that they could get some of the reward money and leave the country.

“I don’t know anything,” the scientist said. “We didn’t have anything. I can’t give the Americans anything. We didn’t have it.”

Kay had interrogators interview all of the senior Iraqi officials in U.S. custody. It was amazing. None of the Iraqis had actually seen any WMD, but they all believed that such unconventional weapons existed some­where else in Saddam’s arsenal. To a person, they assumed that Saddam Hussein was making a lot of public noise about destroying his weapons stockpiles after the 1991 Gulf War for the benefit of the rest of the world, but that he’d never really be stupid enough to actually follow through. But it looked more and more like that was exactly what Saddam had done.

Through the end of September, Kay’s group made lots of ambiguous discoveries-“dual use” production facilities or chemicals that could be used for either weapons or non-WMD products. Chlorine could be used to make chemical weapons, or it could be used to purify water for swim­ming pools. Kay never had a Eureka! moment, but he gradually con­cluded that the reason they weren’t finding WMD stockpiles was because they simply didn’t exist.

 

State of Denial is an indictment of the Bush adminstration over the many blunders relating to Iraq. Even those who support the President will come away from this book with sadness about what has happened.

 

Steve Hopkins, February 23, 2007

 

 

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The recommendation rating for this book appeared

 in the March 2007 issue of Executive Times

 

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