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Plan of Attack by Bob Woodward

 

Rating: (Recommended)

 

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Sources

I expected to be disappointed in reading Bob Woodward’s new book, Plan of Attack. After all, the publicity at the time it was released was extensive, and I thought I already knew what to expect from all the juicy revelations in the press. Instead, I found it to be a real page-turner, thanks to the perspectives Woodward gleaned from more than 75 sources. As a result, Woodward’s account reads as if he were in each room where decisions were made. That outcome is as distracting as it is absorbing. After all, Woodward was not in the room. He uses quotation marks as if what was inside the quotes was what was actually said, not what was recalled from multiple sources. Nonetheless, this contribution adds insight not available unless one is an insider. Here’s an excerpt from chapter 34, pp. 384-392:

 

  In Northern Iraq, Tim threw a blazer over his long underwear and put on his muddy boots. It was the ritual of respectability with the Kurds. No matter how grubby, the brothers up at Jonestown would be in coat and tie. He hopped in his Cherokee and drove himself up the treacherous three miles from Pistachio to Jonestown to be on the scene where the ROCKSTAR reports were coming in. It was snowy and he worried about rolling the Jeep, but he raced to the top. The at­mosphere at Jonestown was frantic with the brothers screaming, “Don’t hang up! Stay on, stay on the phone! Don’t hang up!” Click. Tim decided the best thing to do was scream back at the brothers.

“The fate of your nation hangs on you,” Tim yelled, “and I’m going to pull it all away from you and if you let me down now, you’re not going to get the seat at the table.”

The principal source phoned in a report cobbled together from what his two subsources at Dora Farm were telling him: Uday and Qusay were at the farm for sure, and Saddam was expected back at about 2:30 A.M. or 3 A.M. Iraqi time. The sources on the scene also re­ported details about the houses. Additionally there was a manzul on the compound, the report said. Manzul could be translated as “place of refuge” or “bunker.” Tim chose bunker. The report provided some details about the “bunker”—distances from the main houses, and its thickness in so many meters of concrete under so many meters of earth. Tim frantically took this and sent back to CIA headquarters a flash message summarizing the information.

The president had more questions. “Is it going to disrupt Tommy’s plan?” he asked. They had spent over a year on that plan. What would be the impact? Would it blow the whole element of sur­prise? The Special Operations Forces that had gone in already were supposed to be covert. Would this expose them? “Go ask Tommy,” he directed Rumsfeld.

General Myers eventually reached Franks.

“What do you think about taking a shot at this Dora Farm target?” Myers asked.

Franks had been watching the time-sensitive targets carefully and he had known the night before that the CIA had been getting closer to Saddam, perhaps at Dora Farm. It looked like a target for a Tomahawk cruise missile and Franks had ordered the Navy to pro­gram some missiles on the target. “Let the lads work it all night,” he had said, and then told them they were not going to shoot. It was still during the 48-hour ultimatum period the president had given Sad­dam and his sons to leave. Franks felt pretty strongly, and had coun­seled Rumsfeld, that they not take a shot during that period. It was a kind of grace period. Franks considered it the higher moral ground not to take a shot at someone who might, improbable as that was, be leaving out the back door.

Can you do it in two hours? Myers next asked.

Franks said they could. The Tomahawks were ready to go.

  Sometime after 4 P.M.—now past midnight in Iraq—the latest ROCKSTAR report arrived in the Situation Room and was taken immediately to the Oval Office.

“They say they’re with him right now! Both of the sons are there,” Tenet said. Their wives were there. The families were there also. Saddam was expected back at 2:30 to 3 A.M.—in less than two hours, There was a bunker and one of the ROCKSTARS had paced off where it was, had gone inside and taken rough measurements.

Hadley asked Saul, “Can you show me where the bunker is?” Saul wasn’t sure, but they took the overhead photos and Hadley tried to draw a sketch. McLaughlin was soon doing an improved amateur engineer drawing.

Powell was the only principal missing, and at about 5:15 the president told Rice, “You better call Cohn.”

“Cohn, get to the White House!” she said, reaching Powell at the State Department. She was abrupt and offered no explanation. When Powell arrived in a matter of minutes, they summarized for him. He tried to hang back because it was primarily a military matter. Soon he was going through the pros and cons—collateral damage, failure to hit Saddam. “If we’ve got a chance to decapitate them, it’s worth it,” he finally said.

Rumsfeld strongly recommended a strike, and Cheney agreed though he seemed to be holding back.

Bush filled the time with questions, at one point asking, Were they really sure what they were looking at was what they thought they were looking at?

“It’s as good as it gets,” Tenet said. “I can’t give you 100 percent assurance, but this is as good as it gets.”

Bush was still worrying about the women and children. This could be a kind of baby milk factory, he said, recalling an incident from the 1991 Gulf War when the Iraqis had claimed a suspected bi­ological weapons plant that was bombed was really for the produc­tion of baby milk. “They would bring out dead women and children,” Bush said, “and the first pictures would be of civilian casualties on a massive scale of some kind.” Could Iraq use this as a public relations exercise? he asked. It could engender sympathy for Saddam. Dead babies, children and women would be a nightmare. That sure would get things off on the wrong foot.

Rumsfeld and Myers said it probably didn’t matter what they hit in the first strike because the Iraqi propaganda machine was going to say that the United States killed a number of women and children anyway. And if necessary the Iraqis would execute women and chil­dren and say the United States did it.

That was indeed the downside. But the others—Cheney, Rums­feld, Tenet, even Powell—seemed taken with the upside, a shortcut to victory.

Myers raised a serious problem. If there was a bunker at the Dora compound as they now suspected, the cruise missiles would not penetrate. They would need the hunker-busting 2,000-pound bombs to get that deep. Myers was sent off to talk to Franks.

 

 

  For a moment, the group weighed the downsides. They had prom­ised to defend Israel, and the full defense of Israel was not ready. What were the other consequences? Suppose the Iraqis used a strike as a pretext to set the oil wells ablaze? Suppose they fired Scud missiles into Israel or Saudi Arabia? The consequences of an early attack were immense. The plan called for the air campaign to begin in two days.

At about 5:40, Cheney came out for a break and summoned Libby. The vice president explained what had come in. “It seems like pretty good intelligence, but like all intelligence, it could be a setup,” Cheney said. “But there is not enough time to make a full judgment.”

Libby went back into the Oval Office with Cheney.

Bush went around the room and asked, Would you do it?

“I would do it, Mr. President,” Card said. It was too good a chance not to take. Rumsfeld too was strongly in favor.

Powell thought it was a hell of a lot of very specific information that seemed not bad, though it was a little curious that the CIA sources on the other end of the satellite phones could have acquired so much.

“If we’ve got a chance to decapitate them, it’s worth it,” Powell recommended again.

Rice and Hadley had some more questions about the sources, but both favored an attack.

 

 

Myers reached Franks on a secure phone. Could he load up a stealth fighter with a pair of EGBU-27 bombs, the bunker busters, for the attack?

“Absolutely not,” Franks said. “We don’t have the F-I 17 ready to go.” The F-i 17A Nighthawk, the stealth single-seat fighter jets, typically carried two of the bombs when fully loaded.

Franks checked further. The Air Force had been following the intelligence and the night before had readied one F-i 17. The Air Force squadron in Qatar had that day received word that the bombs could be dropped in pairs safely, though it had never been tried before.

Franks asked what the probability was of a single F- 117 getting through and delivering its pair of bombs? Though stealthy and radar-evading, the F- 117 would have to go in prior to the suppression of Iraqi air defense, weak as that was. The plane would be going in cold. The answer came back that the Air Force could only say there was a 50 percent chance of success.

Prepare two bombers, Franks ordered, figuring that would im­prove the chances.

In Qatar, the Air Force squadron was able to load a second F-117.

Franks sent word to the Oval Office that it would be possible, but he needed a final decision to go by about 7:15 P.M. in order to get the F- 117s in and out of Iraqi airspace well before dawn.

 

 

Rumsfeld, Myers and CIA men were running in and out of the Oval Office to find secure phones at West Wing locations. Card was concerned that the window of opportunity was closing. Did they re­ally understand the intelligence? Was it necessary to change the weapons? Myers was trying to find out how long it would take the F- 117s to be loaded, take off, then fly from Doha to Baghdad and back. How many tankers do they have to have to refuel the planes?

“Where is the sun?” someone asked. When would the sun be coming up in Iraq?

Another question arose. If it was approved, should the presi­dent go on television that night and make his speech announcing the beginning of the war—a speech now scheduled for Friday?

“Look, this is an ongoing operation,” Cheney said. “We didn’t announce that the Special Forces were going in. We didn’t announce the Poles were taking over the platform. We didn’t announce the Aus­tralians were heading toward the dam. We don’t have to announce it yet. You don’t announce it until you are ready to announce it.”

Rumsfeld seemed to half agree. “If someone should go, maybe it should be me,” he said, but he then added, indicating Bush, “Or maybe it could be you.”

Powell raised the CNN effect. The attack would be seen in­stantly. Reporters stationed at the Rashid Hotel in Baghdad were close enough possibly to see it or hear it. Dozens of cruise missiles and bunker buster bombs. The press was spring-loaded to proclaim, “It started! It started!” Antiaircraft fire and tracers would be flying all around. The war was going to begin with this event.

 “If lives are in jeopardy,” the president said, “I’ve got to go an­nounce it.”

Cheney reminded him that lives were already in danger and there had been no announcement.

Should I wait until the next morning? the president asked. That would give Franks another 12 hours before any announcement.

Bush called in Karen Hughes and Dan Bartlett to the Oval Office, He told Saul to sum tip the intelligence.

Then, the president said he was probably going to order the at­tack. “How do we do this?” he asked Hughes and Bartlett. “Do I go on television?” Should he inform the public before, during or after? Should the secretary of defense do it? Everyone turned to Hughes. They knew how much Bush relied on her.

“No, you need to do it, Mr. President,” she said. “The American people shouldn’t hear it from the press, they shouldn’t hear it from somebody else. They should hear it from you. And you should tell them what and why.” If they hit civilians or women and children, the president had to be ahead of the curve. She added her trademark ob­servation, “We can’t sort of be catching up.”

Bartlett agreed with Hughes, but Cheney still had reservations. What would this mean for Israel, Turkey, Saudi Arabia? Do we have our defenses ready for Israel? We promised Israel we would defend them, Tommy’s plan has a defense, but the plan wasn’t fully implemented yet.

Powell could not understand that they would start a war and not get out front with a presidential announcement.

“I promised people I’d let them know when the war begins,” Bush said. “And if lives—the war is beginning tonight, lives will be in jeopardy. I have to tell the American people that I’ve committed American forces to war.”

Cheney didn’t seem happy.

“They have to hear it from me,” Bush said. “I’m doing it.” This would be starting the war, he said. “Let’s not kid ourselves.”

At about 6 P.M. Card called Gerson. “Is it ready?” Card asked. There was only one speech left to give.

“In about five minutes I can have it ready,” Gerson said.

“I want you to meet me outside the Oval Office at 6:30 with sev­eral copies of the speech.”

Gerson went down to the Oval Office and sat in one of the two chairs outside.

Card soon emerged. “We’ll be with you soon enough. Just wait,” he told him. Card took the copies of the speech, leaving Ger­son to cool his heels. Obviously something was up but Gerson had no idea what, Tenet and his people were running in and out making secure calls.

Inside the Oval Office, the president went, around the room again, asking if all the principals agreed, almost pushing each to the wall. They did.

Bush turned to Saul. “Well, what do you think?”

Saul’s head was spinning. He had never been involved in a dis­cussion like this, let alone been asked his opinion. He was worried about the pilots of the F-1 17s. His intelligence was now going to put American lives directly at risk, The planes would he going in with no electronic countermeasures, no fighter escort, no advance suppres­sion of Iraqi air defense. “I have to apologize that we have to present you with this very tough decision,” Saul said to the president. “I re­ally feel sorry for you having to make it.’

“Don’t,” Bush said, “That’s what I do, I’ll make the decision.”

“Well, sir,” Saul said, “then I would say launch.”

 

The President kicked everyone out of the Oval Office but Cheney. What do you think, Dick?

“This is the best intelligence we’ve had yet on where Saddam’s located,” Cheney replied. “If we get him, it may save a lot of lives and shorten the war. And even if we don’t, we’re going to rattle his cage pretty seriously, and maybe disrupt the chain of command. That’s well worth the effort in and of itself.” Now he was unequivocal. “I think we ought to go for it.”

The others came back in. Finally, at 7:12 P.M., the president said, “Let’s go.” It was three minutes before Franks’s deadline.

Powell noted silently that things didn’t really get decided until the president had met with Cheney alone.

Myers went to the secure phone to inform Franks.

 Woodward cultivates so many sources who reveal comprehensive information to him, that as a result, he can present detailed accounts of meetings that encourage readers to turn page after page absorbed in unfolding events. Plan of Attack presents a rare inside perspective that’s makes for interesting reading.

Steve Hopkins, May 25, 2004

 

ă 2004 Hopkins and Company, LLC

 

The recommendation rating for this book appeared in the June 2004 issue of Executive Times

URL for this review: http://www.hopkinsandcompany.com/Books/Plan of Attack.htm

 

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